BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 137 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWNCat:未分類
This weekend, we have a card at Brazil. DraftKings has some decent contests available with this Fight Night card, and this is rare for these free ones. The main tourney is an $8 entrance and pays $20k to 1st. That is the main GPP I’ll be pursuing this week. As always, I will be in the 3-entry max and single entry GPPs too. But this week DraftKings includes two contests for trips out to Vegas to see that the McGregor vs Khabib fight. Fights all, hotel, and flight paid for. The floor chairs competition is a $33 entry along with the non-floor seats competition is simply a $15 entrance. I am going to have to take a few shots at that too. Also, DraftKings just released a contest for UFC 299 that is a $10 entry having a gigantic $100,000 to 1st place. That is unquestionably the greatest prize we have ever seen in DFS MMA, so let us build a bankroll this weekend so we are able to shoot a few extra shots at that $100k. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I like this week as well as my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is the safest win on the card and I believe she gets this fight ended early. That is where I’m starting my cash LUs this week. Just give me the -1100 favorite who’s being fed an easy win , for my cash games. I do like a lot of the top favorites on this card, I just are the most shocked if Souza lost. I think she’s good in both formats, but she will probably be chalky in GPPs, so cash games are the ideal place to get your Souza investment this week. Simply take this win, then find others and you should be good in cash games.
GPP drama of this week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I am a large Charles”Can Bronx” Oliveira fan, and he’s some of my own favorites in UFC history. I think we can see another awesome one here. This fight seems simple to call. Do Bronx will start looking for the early takedown and if he could get it then he likely gets a 1st round sub. If that happens he must lock up a strong 100 points and I am pretty certain in that being the outcome of the fight, so that is why he is my GPP drama of this week. He is also my GPP play of this week, rather than my Money play of the week for a motive. If he can’t get the takedown(s) early, then he’ll likely stop and get completed himself with strikes. I really don’t enjoy that risk of a reduced floor for my money LU, therefore I favor Souza there. However, in GPPs I like saving the $200 and going down to Do Bronx.
Underdog play of the week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I’d like Anders a lot more if he wasn’t carrying this fight on short notice, and when it was not in Brazil. But he can have a very clear route to victory here and that is by knocking outside Santos who doesn’t have a great chin. Anders could also go for takedowns in this fight and he can win with some hard GNP as well. At $7.6k he will almost surely wind up on the winning LU if he is able to acquire the KO. This is the major event, so he’ll have 5 rounds to function with. I really do think this is a good matchup for Anders, however he has to be aggressive and never hang out to the exterior. When he hangs out on the exterior as long Santos will eat him up with kisses and it could be a short night for Anders. I will pick him to get the win as an underdog in Brazil and I think he has it completed in the first two rounds with a KO. This will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it’ll win you a GPP if you can get your additional five spots correct as well.
Fade of this week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is a fade for me. Last time I wrote him up as my fade of this week on here, I was quite wrong and he scored over 100 points. If this happens here, then so be it. But I refuse to rely on an early KO triumph to cover off a 9.2k salary by a guy who does not throw many strikes. At $9.2k I want at least 92 points from Alvey when I roll up him and the only way get gets that is with a 1st round KO win. That could happen here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not willing to invest my money in it.
If you would like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using investigation on each struggle, my private approaches & suggestions, and my selection prediction for every fight then it is possible to find that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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