UFC on FOX 27 Odds: Souza vs. Brunson 2 PredictionCat:未分類
The next UFC event — UFC on Fox 27 — goes down this Saturday (Jan. 27th) and features a main-event tilt between Ronaldo”Jacare” Souza and Derek Brunson. This is actually the second time these two middleweights will face off, with Souza winning via knockout in their first go around in 2012. But time is a funny thing, and six years later, it’s Brunson riding the wave of momentum while Souza regroups after a catastrophic loss that cost him a shot in the UFC middleweight title.
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While this isn’t the tastiest main course the UFC has served, it’s a captivating contrast in styles, and each MMA event, no matter the hype, creates possible gambling opportunities. Where is the smart money going for Souza vs Brunson 2?
Stay tuned for a broader look at the card at Best Bets for UFC on Fox 27 that Thursday.
Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza (-160) vs. Derek Brunson (+135)
Jacare Souza fighting in Strikeforce.
Jacare Souza. Photo by LowLight (YouTube) [CC Permit ].
This is your traditional battle of fashions. Ronaldo Souza (24-5, 17 submissions) is one of the best jiu-jitsu practitioners to ever step foot into a UFC Octagon while Derek Brunson (18-5, 10 KOs) loves to put people to sleep with his powerful fists.
The first time both of these combatants met was back in 2012 under the aged Strikeforce bannerand it was actually Souza who was able to put Brunson to sleep with a fast right hook, one of three career knockouts for the Brazilian.
Six years later, Brunson, a former Division II All-American wrestler (and cheerleader!) , has a chance for revenge.
His opponent is among the most feared grapplers around the planet, and it has stopped 58-percent of his own fights via entry. As he revealed in the first matchup, he is not too shabby in casting leather either. He lands a decent 2.28 significant strikes every minute and has a spectacular accuracy of 44.1-percent.
Souza suffered a catastrophic loss to Robert Whittaker via head kick at his final struggle (April 2017), but he has also won 10 of his last 12 and has never dropped back-to-back conflicts in his career. A win on Saturday would put Souza’s name back to middleweight title film, and time is of the essence for the 38-year-old.
In 34, Derek Brunson’s own career clock is getting late. He rebounded from back-to-back losses to Whittaker and Anderson Silva with KO wins over Dan Kelly (June 2017) and Lyoto Machida (October 2017), rising up the middleweight positions in the process. Knocking men out isn’t anything new for its hard-hitting middleweight, who averages 3.2 significant strikes per minute using a striking accuracy of 32.1-percent. He has won 61-percent of his struggles via KO and has generated knockouts in each of the last six victories. Interestingly, he has never been filed in his career.
The contrasting styles make this a tremendously interesting battle for MMA purists. Normally, it’s wise to lean towards the high level grappler within the power puncher, but Souza’s age coupled with his last performance suggest a possible Brunson upset. Search for the American to utilize his speed, power, and five-inch achieve advantage (77??? vs 72???) to attempt to finish things early, while utilizing his wrestling to keep the fight standing.
Right now, Brunson is recorded at +135 on MyBookie.ag. It’s a fantastic value bet worth taking now.
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