UFC 231 – Max Holloway vs. Brian Ortega – Betting PredictionsCat:未分類
From a fan’s standpoint, UFC 231 is a fantastic event. Concerning betting opportunities, I’m feeling lukewarm. But here are my hints of those fights I’m trying to play. Gilbert Burns vs. Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Decorated jiu-jitsu winner and second degree black belt, Gilbert Burns, has been operating on his striking in the past several decades. Training beneath famed Dutch kickboxer, Henri Hooft, Burns is now comfortable wherever the battle takes place.
Together with his newfound striking abilities, Burns scored emphatic knockout victories over Jason Saggo and Dan Moret. Unfortunately, opting to bang with Dan Hooker was disastrous and Burns was violently finished in his last struggle. I dropped money believing Burns would grapple — oh well!
Even though a solid striker, Burns takes dangers defensively and loads up on his own shots. Dan Hooker is the kind of fighter that can capitalize on defensive lapses — but I’m unsure Olivier Aubin-Mercier is.
Coming from a judo history, Aubin-Mercier is immensely strong from the clinch and hefty from leading position. While he is much more proficient on the toes than he used to be, Aubin-Mercier still lacks the fluidity of somebody that is a natural striker. He is light on his toes, in and out with his motion and slightly tentative — but is accurate when he flames.
While Aubin-Mercier is a jiu-jitsu brown belt, so I doubt he wants to go to the mat with Burns. Even the muscle-bound human blanket, Michel Prazeres, refused to dive into the protector of Gilbert Burns — which speaks volumes.
In his last battle, Aubin-Mercier looked a step behind in the scrambles from Alexander Hernandez and I would anticipate a master of body manipulation like Gilbert Burns to control the mat as well (though I wish there was more footage of Burns fighting his back to make a much better assessment).
I believe that the striking exchanges will be aggressive, but I give Burns a slight edge. Stylistically, this looks catchy for Aubin-Mercier and that I can’t predict his strategy. Maybe the Canadian will attempt to restrain his opponent against the weapon, but without shooting takedowns?
I do believe Aubin-Mercier is the better athlete and certainly has the superior cardio. Still, I’ll take my chances with Gilbert Burns as a +120 underdog like I believe he should be a small favorite.
Elias Theodorou vs. Eryk Anders
In a middleweight showdown between two boxers with contrasting designs (and characters ), Eryk Anders takes on Elias Theodorou.
A fantastic athletic, Anders is explosive yet has good cardio. Fighting from the southpaw stance, Anders packs enormous power in his left hand — but in my view, goes head searching a little too much. In his final bout, Thiago Santos was prepared for the key weapon of Anders — which restricted his offensive victory.
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