BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+ 12 DRAFKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWNCat:未分類
This weekend, we have an 11-fight card in Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some adequate contests for us to win a great deal of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. They also have a Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place cost and that $175k will be distributed between all 100 admissions that qualify. I will attempt to get my 3rd seat this week to maximum it if I could. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I’ll probably stick to the very best GPP this week and throw a small number of entries at that $30k prize, then I will likely take a few shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to get a good quantity of drama into cash games.
With that said, let’s get into a couple plays I like this week along with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me, this is a simple stack in cash week. I believe we readily have a floor of 100 with Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. Additionally, it guarantees us the winner. As I have mentioned many times previously, we don’t need 6 wins in cash games, therefore play those type of games all you’ve got to do is beat half the area. Usually 4 wins or 400+ points is good enough to money in most cash games. Even if you’ve got a solid lean on this fight I still recommend stacking.
GPP play of this week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik has the highest ITD lineup on the card at -140 and he could easily hit 100+ DK points by getting that in around 1. The worry here would be him on his back in round 1 and scoring zero points through that and then going out and getting a KO in round two. Or no KO in any way. Both of those would take him off the perfect lineup so we want this fight to keep standing and ideally an early KO. I think that is very possible and he will be a core GPP drama of mine this week. He isn’t the best cash game play however because he can be put on his back and be stuck there and possibly even lose the battle like that. I am OK with him in cash, but I will not be making that a priority like I’m being overweight in GPPs.
Play of the week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This gambling line is all about pickem’ having a small lean towards Dos Santos. But, Ewell is your preferred on DraftKings and is $400 greater than ADS. Ewell is also the striker so that he to score highly he is likely going to need a complete finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos’ strength however. Ewell has difficulty staying off his back and when ADS can place him there he could submit him. Or he could rack up numerous takedowns to get a high decision score. I enjoy the value we’re getting on him at $7.9k and I like he should be seeking to grapple in this particular fight. That’s why I needed to select him as my dog of this week.
Fade of this week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There are no real simple fades this week. I do have a complete fade on Kondo though because she looks to be purely a striker and I believe Ashely Yoder’s greatest path to success is by way of grappling. If Kondo isn’t in a striking game for 15-minutes I don’t see how she scores tremendously unless she receives a finish. I really don’t believe she has KO power, therefore I believe it is purely the substantial strikes and the triumph bonus that we would be relying on here. I’d rather take a fighter with more of a chance to finish or who’s more likely to grapple. That is why Kondo is my fade of this week.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight about the card and provide my full DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link as well. I am 81-51 for +251.89un (+$25,189) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
Read more: halloweenrugby7s.com