BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN 1 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWNCat:未分類
This weekend, we have a 13-fight PPV card at Phoenix, Arizona. This is the very first ever UFC on large ESPN card and DK has some decent contests for us for this particular Sunday card. The main GPP is that a $10 buy-in and $20k goes to 1st place, also there’ll be $100k in total prizes. They also have a new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for this final contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first location price and $175k will be distributed between all 100 entries that qualify. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers therefore be cautious chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the very best GPP this week and throw 50 or so entries at the $20k decoration. I’ll also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to get a good quantity of play into money games. With that said, let us get into some plays I enjoy too as my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Vicente Luque ($9,400)
Vicente Luque is your most powerful play on the background, in my opinion. I believe he will be the fighter everywhere this battle moves, and he must dominate. I like locking that triumph in my cash game and I think he’s a fantastic shot at getting 10x his $9.4additional salary. I really do expect him to become hot in tournaments so if you want to fade the possession there and attempt to become contrarian, I’d definitely want some Luque investment in money games. Barberena is demanding so that he could continue all 3 rounds and when he does then Luque might only score in the 80s and that won’t win any GPPs. But, we could use an ~80-point win in cash games because we just need to conquer half the field unlike the tournaments.
GPP play of the week — Cain Velasquez ($9,000)
Cain Velasquez is my GPP play of the week because of the chances. A bit over a week ago he had been a -255 favored and that’s what led to his high $95 price tag. Now he’s only -155 and all the worth is currently on Ngannou in his $7.2k price tag. I expect Ngannou are the greatest owned fighter on the card and if Cain wins then he will kill off near half the field. Furthermore, if Cain wins he is likely scoring over 100-points. I anticipate his ownership to go down the longer his betting line reduces and that is what makes him a great GPP play. He’s a 0-point flooring, so that I do not care for him as much in money game, but for GPPs we want boom or bust to attempt and get to that 1st place prize.
Underdog play of the week — Andre Fili ($7,400)
Andre Fili is my favourite dog of the week. He’s $1,400 less costly than Myles Jury on DraftKings, but he is only a +125 underdog. I believe he has a fantastic chance of winning this battle and I am choosing him to receive his hands raised. I expect this to be a very close battle, but I think Fili is going to be the fighter striking at the higher rate and that’s precisely what I believe do it for him on the judges’ scorecards. I really don’t see Fili having 100+ point upside but we don’t really require that at his $7.4k price label. I believe he has a great shot at getting at least 10x, so he’s playable in all formats for me personally.
Fade of the week — Andrea Lee ($8,900)
Andrea Lee is my fade of the week. Not because I think she will lose, but I believe have difficulty seeing her about the $20k lineup in her wages. I enjoy the $9k range a great deal more than her and they all have higher ceilings using their grappling-based game programs. Andrea Lee scored well in her UFC introduction, but that is because she didn’t use grappling there. I really don’t see her doing this in this match because I think Evans-Smith has the edge on the floor and she should be the one looking for takedowns. If Lee is going to win this fight, then she is going to need to do it on the feet and I really don’t see her with a high ceiling without a finish. The only reason to use her is because she is going to be super low possessed, and it’ll create your lineup contrarian, but I still wouldn’t advise it.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle on the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link as well. I am 57-34 for +188.13u (+$18,813) because May 19th on Premium Plays)
Read more here: http://brainonline.de/page/8/